date:2005-02-15T22:29:00
source:Embassy Wellington
origin:05WELLINGTON134
destination:This record is a partial extract of the original cable.
The full text of the original cable is not available.

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 WELLINGTON 000134

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR EAP/ANP

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/10/2015
TAGS: PGOV, PHUM, NZ
SUBJECT: HISTORICAL LABOUR-MAORI CHURCH ALLIANCE THREATENED
BY MAORI PARTY

REF: 04 WELLINGTON 909

Classified By: PRINCIPAL OFFICER AUCKLAND, SIRIA LOPEZ,
REASON 1.4 (D)

(U) This cable originated from AmConGen Auckland.

1. (SBU) Summary: The nascent Maori Party's impact on New
Zealand politics (reftel) continues to be felt -- to the
increasing discomfort of the ruling Labour party, and has
raised doubts about Labour's historical alliance with an
influential Maori organization, the Ratana Church. Some
Ratana followers are questioning the historical Ratana
Church-Labour Party alliance, putting them at odds with the
Church's leader, Harerangi Meihana, a staunch Labour
supporter whose son is to stand as a Labour Party candidate.
In addition, the administrator of a second Ratana center, Te
Omeka Marae Trust Chairman Ron Smith, has challenged
Meihana's position, accusing him of politicizing the Church
to the detriment of its membership and credibility. The
divisions in this important Maori institution reflect the
rise of an increasingly credible Maori political alternative
to Labour. End Summary.

Decades-Old Alliance
--------------------

2. (SBU) The Maori Party's impact on New Zealand politics
continues to be felt -- to the increasing discomfort of the
ruling Labour party. Recently, some members of the Ratana
Church, an influential Maori organization, have been
re-evaluating their Church's historical alliance with the
Labour party. The Church has helped ensure Labour's almost
unbroken hold on Maori-designated parliamentary seats. The
alliance of mutual support between Ratana and Labour was
forged in April 1936 between the Church's charismatic
founder, T.W. Ratana, and then-Labour Prime Minister Joseph
Savage. Since 1936, Labour has lost the Maori-designated
seats only twice: in 1993 and 1996 when the New Zealand
First party -- led by Maori Winston Peters -- captured the
Maori vote. Labour regained the seats in 1999, but the
emergence of the Maori Party in July 2004, a reaction to
Labour's controversial seabed and foreshore legislation, has
spurred some members of the Church to call for a re-think of
its allegiance to
Labour.

All in the Family
-----------------

3. (U) The political importance of the Ratana Church has
ensured PM Helen Clark's regular attendance (twelve years
running) at the annual January celebration honoring T.W.
Ratana's birthday. In 2002, the opposition National Party
also started to show up for the first time. With media
speculating on Maori Party inroads on Labour's "safe" Maori
seats, PM Clark appeared to be taking no chances at this
year's gathering: she arrived at the Ratana site near
Wanganui with 27 Labour ministers and MPs in tow. The media
has also been reporting Clark's successful courting of Errol
Meihana, son of the Ratana Church president, to run as
Labour's candidate in one of seven Maori parliamentary seats.
This seat, Te Tai Hauauru, is likely to be contested by
Maori Party co-leader Tariana Turia, who is also Meihana's
aunt.

Church Fissures
---------------

4. (U) Errol's father, Ratana Church leader, Harerangi
Meihana, has rejected rumors that the Church will break its
ties to Labour. He is also reportedly insisting that
followers back Labour. In so doing, Meihana has alienated
some Church members -* a group which includes another son
who has declared his support for the Maori Party. But it is
the administrator of a second Ratana center, Te Omeka Marae
Trust Chairman Ron Smith, who has been at the forefront of
challenging Meihana's political position.

5. (C) In a meeting on February 4, Smith made it clear to
visiting Auckland Consul General that he strongly disapproves
of the close Meihana-Labour association. He confirmed that
an upcoming Church synod to be held around Easter would
likely focus internal discussions on the question of
political affiliation. Smith maintained that his real
interest concerns Church infrastructure. He insisted that
political matters are the provenance of the Church's
political wing, based in Matatmata at his Te Omeka Marae, and
not with the spiritual center near Wanganui. (A Ratana
Church spokesman, however, has questioned Smith's assertions
as being "at best debatable.") Admitting that it sounds like
"sour grapes," Smith said that under Meihana's leadership,
the spiritual wing had become more and more involved in
politics, more and more interested in "getting on the right
side of Helen Clark."

6. (C) Smith lamented the social cost of the rift ) as
Meihana engages in politics young Maori, left spiritually
adrift, are being swept up into crime. Maori families are
struggling to cope with these social strains and upheavals.
The Church offers them no support. As a result, Church
membership is declining. Smith contended that the Church
needs to pay attention to Maori spiritual needs if it is to
staunch the membership decline. (Note: We have been unable
to confirm Smith's charge that institutional numbers are
declining. Figures cited publicly range from 40,000 to
70,000 Ratana members. Smith, however, estimated the
current number to be closer to 20,000. End Note)

6. (C) Smith further contended that the Church is also
losing followers for a non-spiritual reason: members do not
want to be told for whom to vote. The foreshore and seabed
legislation, for example, is a matter of interest to members,
important enough to sway political inclinations. Given his
position as political wing administrator, Smith said he had
been trying to monitor members' political feelings while
making it clear to them that whom they voted for was their
business. Smith believed that, rather than switching
political allegiance from one political party to another,
members at the Easter synod would want to reject voting
directives of any kind, opting to let members make up their
own minds. Maori party co-leader Tariana Turia has echoed
this sentiment, saying publicly that the Labour-Ratana
alliance is effectively over as no group can tell Maori how
to vote.

Maori Party Prospects
---------------------

7. (C) Both Smith and Turia believe the Maori Party is
finding support among increasing numbers of Ratana followers.
But when asked about the party's 2005 electoral prospects,
Smith said he thought it could win 2-3 seats. He was
uncertain if it could win more. He also said he did not
think the Party would win any general (list) seats. Smith
criticized the recent selection of "brash" Maori activist,
Hone Harawira, as the Maori Party candidate for Te Tai
Tokerau. Harawira, he said, was the kind of candidate who
could make even liberal-minded persons vote for the right.
Smith confided that he had been very embarrassed at the
turnout for a Maori Party get-together at his center. Two
young Ratana Church members had assured him that "thousands"
would come out; the actual number had been 120. He implied
that the disappointing attendance, captured by television
cameras, had detracted from his center's prestige and its
billing as the Ratana Church's political center. It was only
after Smith heard that "no one" had turned up for the
launching of Errol Meihana's political organizing committee
that he had begun to feel better.

8. (C) Smith, who is himself a T.W. Ratana relative,
described upcoming efforts, to be taken with the support of
other Ratana family relations, to "reaffirm Church theology
and infrastructure." He denied he is seeking to split the
Church or to oust Meihana, his cousin. How, he asked, could
he split the Church when all he is doing is "reaffirming
theology, reaffirming the value of the Te Omeka site and
recognizing the power of the people?" (The irony of his
pressing the theological case while at the same time
insisting on the separation of the Wanganui "spiritual" arm
of the Church and his own "political" role was apparently
lost on Smith.)

Comment
-------

9. (C) Comment: Current trends are likely to bear out
Smith's and Turia's predictions. It seems reasonable that a
significant number of Ratana Church members, particularly the
younger set, will want to make their own voting decisions --
even if the Church old guard should retain its official
alliance with Labour. Furthermore, the Maori Party is likely
be the biggest beneficiary of any switched political party
votes. Whatever the Church's actual membership numbers, PM
Clark chose to turn up at the Ratana anniversary celebrations
with an unusually large Labour entourage. She also
assiduously courted Errol Meihana to run for Labour. With
the emergence of a credible Maori political alternative, such
moves signal that Clark wants to dispel any impression that
Labour is taking the Maori vote for granted.
Swindells

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