Excerpt from document
(S/NF) Summary: (Name Removed) told PolOffs on
December 30 that despite Dadis Camara's apparent desire to
depart Morocco (Ref A), he is in no condition to travel and
will not be able to resume control of the country.

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FM AMEMBASSY RABAT
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1009
INFO RUEHRY/AMEMBASSY CONAKRY IMMEDIATE 0013
RUEHOU/AMEMBASSY OUAGADOUGOU IMMEDIATE 0593
RUEHDS/USMISSION ADDIS ABABA IMMEDIATE
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK IMMEDIATE 0987
RUCNMGH/MAGHREB COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
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RUEHMV/AMEMBASSY MONROVIA PRIORITY 0572
RUEHNM/AMEMBASSY NIAMEY PRIORITY 1181
RUEHTRO/AMEMBASSY TRIPOLI PRIORITY 0454
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Content
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 RABAT 001018

SIPDIS
NOFORN

STATE FOR AF, AF/W, NEA, NEA/MAG, AND INR/AA

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/01/2020 ,
TAGS: PINS, PGOVPREL, PINR, GV, MO
SUBJECT: GUINEA LATEST: DADIS AND BEYOND?

REF: A. RABAT 1009
B. RABAT 0988

RABAT 00001018 001.2 OF 002

Classified By: DCM Robert P. Jackson for reasons 1.4(b) and (d).

1. (S/NF) Summary: (Name Removed) told PolOffs on
December 30 that despite Dadis Camara's apparent desire to
depart Morocco (Ref A), he is in no condition to travel and
will not be able to resume control of the country. Minister
of National Defense Sekouba Konate and an assistant, Mr. Bah,
along with Minister of Communications Idrissa Cherif have
been in Rabat to visit Dadis, but Konate planned to return to
Guinea by December 31, possibly to present to the Guinean
people a case for his assumption of power in place of Dadis.
The next ten days would be telling and potentially chaotic
for the country, according to (Name Removed), but with the
assistance of the international community, Konate should be
able to control the army and avert violence that could have
regional implications. End Summary.

2. (S/NF) (Name Removed) told PolOffs on December
30 that Dadis Camara was in no condition to travel and would
not be able to control (Name Removed) again. (Name Removed) said that Dadis
Camara still had a bullet in his head, suffered from impaired
vision and speech, and was not fully aware of his
surroundings. (Name Removed) himself admitted that he had not
seen Dadis; according to him only Konate and Bah were allowed
into his room. Regarding earlier news reports that Dadis was
preparing to speak to the Guinean people, (Name Removed) said
that if Dadis could speak to the media, he certainly would
have by now. Evidently Dadis also suffered from heart
problems unrelated to the gunshot wounds.

3. (S/NF) (Name Removed) evidently was not in the best of health,
either, and sought medical consultation while here in Rabat.
Reportedly a heavy drinker, (Name Removed) suffered from liver
problems consistent with his intake of large amounts of
alcohol. On December 30, senior Moroccan military officials
separately questioned (Name Removed) fitness to lead, calling him
weak.

4. (S/NF) (Name Removed), (Name Removed) travel to Rabat allowed
him to return to Guinea and report on the basis of his
first-hand knowledge that Dadis was unable to continue in his
role as leader of Guinea, paving the way for Konate to assume
power for a transitional period. Were (Name Removed) to attempt to
take control without having undertaken the trip to Rabat to
see Dadis, he would have been perceived as a traitor to Dadis
and have no legitimacy before the Guinean people and army.
(Name Removed) would then have (Name Removed) and (Name Removed), another CNDD
leader, arrested, (Name Removed) said.

5. (S/NF) (Name Removed) went on to say that (Name Removed) was behind
demonstrations being planned for Conakry, while Pivi, who was
from the same ethnic group as Dadis, might organize
supporters on an ethnic basis and incite clashes with other
groups. Given that ethnic and national boundaries are not
coterminous, this could affect neighboring countries and
plunge the entire region into chaos (Ref B), asserted (Name Removed). With the help of the United States and European
countries, Konate would be able to take power and control the
army, which lacked discipline and had too many crooks and
militias, but (Name Removed) did not specify what sort of
assistance from the international community would be
necessary.

6. (S/NF) Comment: (Name Removed) urged intervention, both to
keep Dadis out of Guinea and to support an effort by Konate
to take power in the country, in order to forestall
devastating ethnic violence. His argument that Dadis would

RABAT 00001018 002.2 OF 002

have made a public statement by now if he could have is
compelling, while his comment that (Name Removed) would have other
CNDD leaders arrested suggests that the fate of Guinea does
not depend on Dadis alone. Dadis has amassed militias and
enjoys some popular support (Ref B), and for (Name Removed) his return
would undoubtedly lead to violence and unrest. His continued
absence, however, might not preclude it. End Comment.

7. (U) Tripoli minimize considered.

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