From: Aftenposten
9/20/2004 10:31 C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 COLOMBO 001558 SIPDIS DEPARTMENT FOR SA, SA/INS NSC FOR DORMANDY PLEASE ALSO PASS TOPEC E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/20/2014 TAGS: PREL, PGOV, CE, NO, LTTE - Peace Process SUBJECT: NORWEGIAN ENVOY SOLHEIM FINDS GSL AND LTTE COMMITTED TO PEACE PROCESS REF: COLOMBO 1555 AND PREVIOUS Classified By: Ambassador Jeffrey J. Lunstead. 1.4(b,d) 1. (C) SUMMARY: Solheim is frustrated with the stalemate in the peace process, but the cease-fire has saved thousands of lives. He thinks bold steps are needed to resume the talks. He thinks talks will resume if the wording of the agenda regarding an interim authority is resolved. The Tigers are feeling international pressure and resent what they perceive as "bias." Norway sees this as a long-haul process in which concerted donor action will be important. Solheim may visit Washington in early October. END SUMMARY. 2. (U) Norwegian Special Envoy Erik Solheim briefed the donor group September 17 at the end of his four-day visit to Sri Lanka. Solheim had met Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eela (LTTE) official Thamilchelvan in Kilinochchi on September 16, and had seen President Kumaratunga the morning of the 17th. He also met with Opposition Leader Ranil Wickremesinghe. FRUSTRATION WITH STALEMATE, BUT BETTER THAN WAR ----------------------------------------------- 3. (C) Solheim began by noting that press pieces that morning had carried his public statement expressing "frustration" with the stalemate in the peace process. It was important, however, to put this in context. Over the last two years of the ceasefire, some two to three hundred people had been killed. If the war had been ongoing, that number would have been two to three thousand. Solheim also noted that he saw no signal that either side wanted to go back to war. Obviously hostilities could resume through some inadvertent incident, but, he believed, there was no deliberate plan by either side to resume fighting. The bottom line was that the "no war/no permanent peace" situation was certainly preferable to a resumed war. BOLD STEPS NEEDED TO RESUME TALKS --------------------------------- 4. (C) The question then was how to move to the next phase. Solheim had told both sides that a bold step was needed. At present they were bogged down in small issues, namely the wording of the agenda with regard to the Interim Self Governing Authority (ISGA). Thamilchelvan told Solheim that the LTTE had already showed flexibility when it gave up its demand for a separate state, which had been the mandate of Tamil parties since the 1970s. By contrast, the government had done nothing to prepare the Southern public to accept federalism, Thamilchelvan said. This will take time, so an interim setup was needed. Therefore, Thamilchelvan said, the LTTE cannot be flexible on the formulation for talks. However, once talks started they could be flexible on the ISGA proposal, and were ready to discuss alternate proposals. Thamilchelvan thought the government was now in a better position to enter talks based on the ISGA because of the entrance into the ruling coalition of the Ceylon Workers Congress, and because of statements by the opposition United National Party (UNP) that it would support the government if it entered negotiations based on the ISGA. The LTTE, Thamilchelvan said, would not put forward any further conditions. The Tigers were now preparing for a seminar they would hold in Geneva in two weeks, which would be followed by visits to some European countries. The Tigers, Solheim said, were in no particular hurry, and saw no need to help any particular Southern political party. KUMARATUNGA SUPPORTS NORWEGIAN ROLE ----------------------------------- 5. (C) President Kumaratunga, Solheim said, was eager to get to talks, but he had not achieved any breakthrough in his discussion with her. Ambassador asked if she had any reaction to Solheimīs request for "bold steps." Solheim said that she was considering what she might do. (n.b., President left the following day for the UNGA session and will be out of country for 7-10 days, so nothing should be expected in that time frame. Ambassador will see Kumaratunga upon her return.) Ambassador noted that Kumaratunga had made a very positive statement about the Norwegians after her meeting with Solheim, and presumed that was not coincidental. Solheim said that was correct. He had told Kumaratunga that Norway had been put into an awkward position the last few months. It faced constant public criticism in the South since it was working with the Tigers, but this was part of its role as facilitator. Kumaratunga had then issued her statement, which was part of her running battle with her coalition partners, the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP). Kumaratunga for her part had told Solheim that it would help if the Tigers would reiterate their commitment to a federal solution. CEASE-FIRE BROADLY FOLLOWED --------------------------- 6. (C) On the status of the cease-fire, Solheim said that both parties were broadly adhering to it, but neither party was strictly following it. The government had tried to use Karuna to weaken the LTTE, while the LTTE continued its campaign of assassinations of its opponents. Hence both sides were playing with fire. TIGERS FEELING INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE? -------------------------------------- 7. (C) Solheim said that Thamilchelvan complained about "bias" from the international community. International pressure was one-sided, Thamilchelvan said, and directed against the Tigers. August statements by the US and the EU were examples, as were comments by the US Counter-terrorism Coordinator Ambassador Cofer Black during his recent visit. He also complained specifically about high-ranking military visits from the US and India. In a private aside, Solheim told Ambassador that LTTE theoretician Balasingham had told him that the mid-August statement by Deputy Secretary Armitage had been useful as it put pressure on the LTTE to stop murdering its opponents. Solheim asked that comment be kept strictly private. (COMMENT: Good, the Tigers are getting the message.) INFLUENCE OF EAST? ------------------ 8. (C) Ambassador told Solheim that his (Solheimīs) emphasis seemed to be on resolving the agenda issue as the roadblock to resumed talks. However, many in the South were saying that the Tigers would not come back to the table until they were able to reassert their control in the East. Did he think that was the case? Solheim said he did not agree. If the President met the LTTE demands on the agenda and ISGA, he said, the Tigers will come to the table. Solheim also said that Balasingham would resume his role as chief negotiator for the Tigers. LONG-HAUL APPROACH ------------------ 9. (C) Solheim concluded by saying that the Norwegians were in this for the long haul. The donors needed to think, he said, how to use their money to underpin the peace process. They needed to assist not only the government and the LTTE, but also civil society. COMMENT ------- 10. (C) Solheimīs entire visit was conducted in a low-key manner. His comments to the press were minimal, and press coverage was largely confined to the inside pages -- a sharp contrast to previous visits. As noted above, the Tigers seem to be feeling some international pressure, but it is not clear if it has actually changed their behavior in any way. His assessment that neither side wants or is planning for a return to war is hopeful -- if it is accurate. His further assessment that only the ISGA formulation remains as a roadblock to new talks can only be tested if the Government comes around on that point. It is also quite possible that the Tigers will just come up with new conditions. 11. (C) COMMENT CONTINUED: The LTTE meeting in Geneva, which will be attended by Tamil expatriates from around the world, could be useful if the expats argue for a return to talks without further conditions. Department contacts with potential US-based participants could be helpful, and we would encourage them. END COMMENT. SOLHEIM TO WASHINGTON? ---------------------- 12. (U) After the meeting, Solheim told Ambassador that he was thinking of visiting the US soon -- perhaps the week of October 4 -- to renew contacts and share ideas. Ambassador said he thought this would be useful. Norwegian Embassy may be in touch to discuss a possible trip. LUNSTEAD